异常东亚冬季风激发ENSO的数值模拟研究   总被引：40，自引：11，他引：29  

李崇银  穆明权 《大气科学》1998,22(4):481-490

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所发展的热带太平洋环流模式（OGCM）和海－气耦合模式（CGCM）分别就冬半年东亚冬季风异常对赤道太平洋的作用进行了数值模拟研究。结果清楚地表明,无论在 OGCM 中还是在 CGCM 中,持续的冬季风强异常将引起赤道中东太平洋海表水温（SST）的明显正异常,其分布类似观测到的El Ni?o事件;而持续的冬季风弱异常将引起赤道中东太平洋SST的明显负异常,其分布十分类似观测到的La Ni?a事件。因此,数值模拟进一步证实了我们过去从资料诊断和理论分析中得到的结论,即东亚冬季风异常是激发产生 ENSO 的重要机制。对模式资料的分析还清楚表明,异常东亚冬季风将激发异常海洋Kelvin波和使热带大气季节内振荡出现强异常,它们是激发ENSO的重要物理因素,这与观测资料的分析结果相一致。  相似文献   

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何晓业  何晓红 《大地测量与地球动力学》2007,27(2):122-124

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利用双阳台水管观测资料检测地球自由振荡   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

邓娜  刘冰冰  杨耀文  蒋翠荣  范金梅  任佳 《大地测量与地球动力学》2009,29(Z1):41-44

基于双阳台水管倾斜仪的数字化观测资料，利用功率谱密度估计方法，在没有对资料进行去固体潮处理的情况下，准确获得了2004年12月26日苏门答腊大地震激发的0S3～0S31基频球型自由振荡。并与PREM模型的理论自由振荡周期进行了对比，发现实测振荡周期与PREM预测的振荡周期相吻合，除0S3、0S4振型的观测周期和PREM模型理论周期的相对误差大于0.3%外，其他振型的观测周期和PREM模型理论周期的相对误差大都集中在0.1%左右。同时还检测到了5个谐频球型振荡和8个环型振荡。  相似文献   

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杨兆  孙和平  雷湘鄂 《大地测量与地球动力学》2007,27(4):38-43

??????????????????(Runge??Kutta)????????PREM??????????????????λ??????????????????????????????200 s??????????????????ε??????????????????????????????????仯???????????????о??????λ???????е?仯?????????????:??????????????????????????????仯?????, 20???????????????μ????????????Dziewonski??Anderson??????, ?????????????0.25%?????  相似文献   

热带季节内振荡对西北太平洋台风生成的大尺度环境的影响   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

周伟灿  沈海波  赵海坤 《大气科学学报》2015,38(6):731-741

基于澳大利亚气象局发布的RMM(Real-time Multivariate Madden-Julian oscillation)指数,将热带大气季节内振荡划分为8个位相,统计分析了各位相西北太平洋台风生成频数和位置的变化特征,并进一步利用BDI(Box Difference Index)指数分析了台风生成的活跃和不活跃位相之间环境要素的差别。结果表明,相比于台风生成的不活跃位相(1、2、3位相),在利于台风生成的活跃位相(5、6、7位相)期间,环境场具有更强的低层辐合和高层辐散外流、更高的对流层中层相对湿度和更广的垂直切变较小区域。进一步研究表明,在台风生成的活跃和不活跃位相之间,大尺度环境场的差别主要体现在动力因子方面,尤其是低层辐合场。  相似文献   

Relationship between summer rainfall anomalies and sub-seasonal oscillation intensity in the ChangJiang Valley in China     

《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2015

Sub-seasonal variability of summer (May–October) rainfall over the ChangJiang Valley exhibits two dominant timescales, one with a quasi-biweekly (QBW) period (10–20 days) and the other with an intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) period (20–60 days). A significant positive correlation (at a 99% confidence level) was found between the summer precipitation anomaly and the intensity of the QBW and ISO modes in the region. By examining the composite structure and evolution characteristics, we note that the QBW mode is characterized by a northwest–southeast oriented wave train pattern, moving southeastward. The perturbations associated with the ISO mode propagate northwestward in strong ISO years but southeastward in weak ISO years. A marked feature is the phase leading of low-level moisture to convection in both the QBW and ISO mode. When the summer rainfall is strong in the ChangJiang Valley, large-scale atmospheric conditions in the strong QBW/ISO activity region are characterized by deeper moist layer, convectively more unstable stratification and greater ascending motion. Such mean conditions favor the growth of the QBW and ISO perturbations. Thus, a significant positive correlation between the summer precipitation and the strength of sub-seasonal variability arises from the large-scale control of the summer mean flow to perturbations.  相似文献   

IMPACT OF TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATIONS ON THE PRECIPITATION OF GUANGDONG IN JUNES     

林爱兰  李春晖  谷德军  郑彬 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2015,21(4):326-336

The impact of tropical intraseasonal oscillations on the precipitation of Guangdong in Junes and its physical mechanism are analyzed using 30-yr (1979 to 2008), 86-station observational daily precipitation of Guangdong and daily atmospheric data from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis. It is found that during the annually first rainy season (April to June), the modulating effect of the activity of intraseasonal oscillations propagating eastward along the equator (MJO) on the June precipitation in Guangdong is different from that in other months. The most indicative effect of MJO on positive (negative) anomalous precipitation over the whole or most of the province is phase 3 (phase 6) of strong MJO events in Junes. A Northwest Pacific subtropical high intensifies and extends westward during phase 3. Water vapor transporting along the edge of the subtropical high from Western Pacific enhances significantly the water vapor flux over Guangdong, resulting in the enhancement of the precipitation. The condition is reverse during phase 6. The mechanism for which the subtropical high intensifies and extends westward during phase 3 is related to the atmospheric response to the asymmetric heating over the eastern Indian Ocean. Analyses of two cases of sustained strong rainfall of Guangdong in June 2010 showed that both of them are closely linked with a MJO state which is both strong and in phase 3, besides the effect from a westerly trough. It is argued further that the MJO activity is indicative of strong rainfall of Guangdong in June. The results in the present work are helpful in developing strategies for forecasting severe rainfall in Guangdong and extending, combined with the outputs of dynamic forecast models, the period of forecasting validity.  相似文献   

IMPACT OF ENSO ON THE PRECIPITATION OVER CHINA IN WINTER HALF-YEARS     

李天然  张人禾  温敏 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2015,21(2):161-170

In this paper, the impact of ENSO on the precipitation over China in the winter half-year is investigated diagnostically. The results show that positive precipitation anomalies with statistical significance appear over southern China in El Nio episodes, which are caused by the enhanced warm and humid southwesterlies along the East Asian coast in the lower troposphere. The enhanced southwesterlies transport more water vapor to southern China, and the convergence of water vapor over southern China increases the precipitable water and specific humidity. In La Nia episodes,although atmospheric elements change reversely, they are not statistically significant as those in El Nio periods. The possible physical mechanism of the different impact of ENSO cycle on the precipitation over southern China is investigated by analyzing the intraseasonal oscillations(ISOs) in El Nio and La Nia winter half-years, respectively. By comparing the characteristics of ISOs in El Nio and La Nia, a physical mechanism is proposed to explain the different responses of the precipitation over China to ENSO in the winter half-year. In El Nio episodes, over western North Pacific(WNP) and South China Sea(SCS) the ISOs are inactive and exert little effect on water vapor transport and convergence, inducing positive precipitation anomalies with statistical significance over southern China in El Nio episodes. In La Nia episodes, however, the ISOs are active, which weaken the interannual variation signals of ENSO over WNP and southern China and lead to the insignificance of the interannual signals related to ENSO. Therefore, the different responses of precipitation over China to ENSO in the winter half-year are possibly caused by the difference of intraseasonal oscillations over WNP and SCS between El Nio and La Nia.  相似文献   

Intraseasonal oscillation intensity over the western North Pacific:Projected changes under global warming          下载免费PDF全文

Yi Fan  Ke Fan  Zhiqing Xu 《大气和海洋科学快报》2021,14(4):1-6

本文利用8个CMIP5模式的日资料,预估了RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景下全球增温达1.5℃和2.0℃时西北太平洋夏季30～60天和10～20天季节内振荡(ISO)强度的变化情况.大多数模式都认为,无论增温水平或情景如何,预估结果均显示从中南半岛南部到菲律宾以东的带状区域内ISO强度增加,并且关键气象要素背景的变化会对ISO强度异常的空间分布造成影响.具体表现为,ISO强度增大的区域往往伴随着低层湿度和湿静力能的增加.其中菲律宾东部的湿度变化最为明显,ICP南部的湿静力能变化最为明显,上述区域的ISO强度均增强.相反,印度尼西亚西部和菲律宾东北部有局地下沉运动增强,当地的ISO强度减小.  相似文献   

Seasonal oscillations in mesospheric temperatures at low-latitudes     

Y. Zhao  M.J. Taylor  H.-L. Liu  R.G. Roble 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2007,69(17-18):2367

Using 3 years of high-quality temperature measurements (2002–2004) recorded from Maui, HI (20.8°N), we have investigated the characteristics of mesospheric seasonal oscillations at low-latitudes. Measurements of the near-infrared OH (6,2) and O₂ (0,1) nightglow emission layers (centered at 87 and 94 km) independently reveal a distinct semi-annual oscillation (SAO) and annual oscillation (AO) with amplitudes of 3.8 and 2.0 K, respectively. An observed asymmetry in the seasonal variation of the nocturnal mean, previously reported by Taylor et al. [2005. Characterization of the semi-annual-oscillation in mesospheric temperatures at low-latitudes. Advances in Space Research 35, doi:10.1016/j.asr.2005.05.111] from this site is shown to be due to a superposed AO of amplitude 50% of the SAO signature. Detailed investigations of the local-time variation of the SAO amplitude and phase combined with TIME-GCM simulations of the seasonal variation of the diurnal tide strongly suggest a large local-time dependence of the amplitude (but not phase) of the observed SAO. These data indicate that the true mean temperature SAO amplitude could be as high as 7 K at this latitude.  相似文献